Buster Olney just tweeted thus:
As C.J. Wilson pitches this postseason, you'd have to think his performance could swing his FA price by $25-30 million,one way or the other.
First thought: Nah.
Second thought: C'mon.
Third thought: ... okay, maybe.
It would be insane for a GM to put that kind of stock in a handful of starts. Assuming he signs for five years -- which seems to be the standard for a second-tier rotation leader -- that would mean that the difference between C.J. Wilson, Postseason Dynamo, and C.J. Wilson, Guy Postseason Flameout would be $6 million a year.
Fourth thought: Well, when you put it like that, it does seem a bit silly. If Wilson's a $12 million-per-year guy in September, he's not an $18 million-per-year guy with a good October. Or if he's a $15 million guy in September, he's not a $9 million guy with a bad couple of playoff starts.
But while the numbers are a little askew, the idea isn't. How Wilson pitches this postseason will make a difference with his contract, and the difference will be in the millions. I always feel nervous for those people who have to shoot a half-court shot to win $50,000 or a new car. I guess I should feel like that with every pitch Wilson throws for the rest of the playoffs.