For most of this postseason, Austin Jackson has looked completely overmatched. He's looked overmatched as a leadoff hitter, and he would have looked overmatched hitting ninth.
But there's a reason he keeps playing. Well, two reasons. The first is his defense, and the second is that he does have some untapped offensive potential. In the fifth inning, with one on and two outs, Jackson got the Tigers just a little bit closer by bombing a homer to right-center to make the score 9-4. That FanGraphs win-expectancy chart? It went from 97% down to 94% after the homer.
That's the good news. The bad news is that the Rangers got momentum back when Josh Hamilton made a leaping catch against the left-field fence to end the top of the fifth. And while momentum is just swell, it doesn't win games by itself. Runs win games, and the Rangers got another one in the fifth on a sacrifice fly from Hamilton.
The win-expectancy chart is right back to 97%. Easy come, easy go.